Will higher voter turnout help or hurt BJP?
What are the trends in turnout so far? What does it mean for the BJP? I dig into the data to provide some insights using election results and satellite imagery. A big thank you to Shamindra Roy for processing the satellite data!
In the previous election, during the Modi wave, India saw its highest ever turnout at 66 per cent. Surprisingly, the turnout numbers so far in 2019 are actually somewhat higher than in 2014. Through the first five phases, the constituencies that have gone to the polls have registered an average turnout of 68.6 per cent - marginally higher than the 67.3 per cent the same constituencies registered in 2014.
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